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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+4.12vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+3.77vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+2.59vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.76vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+1.26vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.40-0.29vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.53+1.74vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-0.39vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.69+2.73vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.58vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.12-0.69vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.18+1.72vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.00-6.08vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.90-3.31vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.43vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.35-0.41vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.32-3.93vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.77-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.77Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.59Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.71Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.74Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.73Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.31Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.72Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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13.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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15.59University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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14.41Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Will Priebe | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Wade Anthony | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 14.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 11.6% |
| Sam Harris | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 18.5% | 39.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 7.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.