← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.64+4.08vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.06vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.47+2.63vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.43+1.49vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.00+2.02vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.53+2.77vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.40-1.32vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.12+2.12vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.90+1.99vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont1.32+3.13vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island3.23-4.64vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-3.56vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.69-1.36vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.36vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College2.81-7.37vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-2.35vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College1.18-3.49vs Predicted
-
18University of New Hampshire0.35-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.08Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
-
8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
-
5.63Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
5.49Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
7.02Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
8.77Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
-
5.68Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
10.12Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
10.99Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
-
13.13University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
6.36University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
-
11.64Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
14.36Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
-
7.63Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
13.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
-
13.51Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
-
15.43University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Shea Smith | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 8.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 21.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 13.4% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 11.7% |
| Sam Harris | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.