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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+5.12vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.33+3.11vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+2.39vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+2.78vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.10+0.70vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10+2.14vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.44-0.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.70vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.45-1.89vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.50+0.42vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.37+0.05vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-4.69vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.08-1.55vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.77+1.73vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.00vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.39-2.34vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.60-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.11Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.39Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.78Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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7.88Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.42Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.05Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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12.45University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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16.73Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
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15.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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14.66University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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10.84Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.3% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 2.2% |
| Maks Groom | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 18.4% | 58.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 27.2% | 18.8% |
| James Sullivan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 24.7% | 14.6% |
| Porter Bell | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.