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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+6.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+6.22vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.03+3.03vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.26vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.77+11.64vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.44+1.99vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.10-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.10+1.07vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.33-4.14vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.37+1.98vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.45-2.99vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.36vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-7.82vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.50-2.92vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.39-0.42vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.60-4.93vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.08-4.17vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.03Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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16.64Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
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7.99Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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4.86Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.98Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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5.18Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.08Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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14.58University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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11.07Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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14.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 16.8% | 59.1% |
| Peter Busch | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.1% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 14.1% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| James Sullivan | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 22.9% | 15.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 4.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 25.3% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.