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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+7.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+5.25vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.45+5.37vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.03+2.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+2.56vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23-0.52vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.43+1.28vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.10-2.16vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.33-3.91vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.79+0.73vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-4.90vs Predicted
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121.91-1.60vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.50-1.60vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-3.05vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.27-2.71vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.39-1.19vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-2.11vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.25Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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5.48Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.84Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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5.09Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.73Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.1Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.41.910.0%1st Place
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11.4Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.95Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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14.81University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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14.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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16.7Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 13.5% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Porter Bell | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 1.7% |
| James Sullivan | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 27.2% | 15.3% |
| Luke Kenahan | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 19.1% | 26.0% | 17.4% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 17.6% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.