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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+6.10vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+4.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.33+2.22vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+1.85vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+3.05vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.45+2.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.52vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.79+2.25vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.08+3.67vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.10-3.96vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.73+2.67vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.39+2.77vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-4.65vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.23-8.71vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.07-5.67vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.14vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.60-5.84vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.2Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.22Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.85Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.25Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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6.04Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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13.67Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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14.77University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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5.29Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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14.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.16Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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16.57Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 6.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Everett Nash | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 6.3% |
| James Sullivan | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 25.6% | 14.6% |
| Maks Groom | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 24.0% | 16.2% |
| Porter Bell | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.