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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.33+4.27vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+3.55vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.03+3.15vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+2.87vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.10+0.83vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.49vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.08+5.66vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07-2.18vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.43-0.88vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.45-1.76vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.79-0.52vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.73+1.92vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.64vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.07-4.89vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.13vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.60-4.90vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.39-2.40vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.55Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.87Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.83Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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12.66University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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5.82Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.24Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.48Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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13.92Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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14.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.1Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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14.6University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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16.56Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 5.3% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 3.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 8.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 23.1% | 16.8% |
| Porter Bell | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| James Sullivan | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 24.1% | 13.3% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 18.9% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.