← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.75+5.61vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University3.10+3.60vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.07+2.76vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.29vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.23+0.14vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.03+0.03vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.33-2.05vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.45-0.39vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.10+0.08vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.93vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.43-3.05vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire0.39+1.81vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont1.08-0.93vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.79-3.90vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.96vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.16vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College0.73-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.61Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
5.6Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
5.76Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
7.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
5.14Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.03Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
4.95Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
-
7.61Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
9.08University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
-
8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
-
7.95Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
-
13.81University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
-
12.07University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
-
10.1Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
-
14.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
-
15.84Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
-
13.06Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.1% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 13.7% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 20.5% | 24.4% | 12.8% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 9.9% | 3.6% |
| Everett Nash | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 25.8% | 16.2% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 18.5% | 58.4% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.