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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.10+4.53vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+3.76vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+2.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.33+1.03vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+2.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.37vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.45+0.77vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.89vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.75-2.06vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.07-4.34vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.79-1.03vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.08+0.08vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.73-0.01vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-4.97vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.39-1.30vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.85vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.29Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.03Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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7.77Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.94Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.66Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.97Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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12.99Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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13.7University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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14.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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15.89Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 3.3% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 8.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 25.9% | 12.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 21.1% | 25.2% | 15.5% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.