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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+5.62vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+3.57vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.33+1.98vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.03+1.98vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+0.16vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07-0.11vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.45+0.80vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.03vs Predicted
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91.91+0.75vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.43-2.22vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.37+0.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.74vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.50-2.01vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.27-2.26vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.39-1.13vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.08vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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4.98Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.98Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.16Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.89Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.8Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.751.910.0%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.99Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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13.87University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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15.92Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
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14.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 12.6% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 2.3% |
| James Sullivan | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 26.5% | 13.9% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 8.0% | 17.3% | 62.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 18.1% | 28.2% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.