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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+5.65vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.33+2.88vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+2.27vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+3.91vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03+0.77vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07-0.10vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.10-1.30vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.37+3.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.59vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.87vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.50-0.01vs Predicted
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121.91-2.42vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.45-5.08vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.77+1.89vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.27-3.41vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.72vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.39-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.88Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.27Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.77Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.9Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.15Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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10.99Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.581.910.0%1st Place
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7.92Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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15.89Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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14.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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13.99University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.5% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 0.8% |
| Henry Lee | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 17.7% | 61.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 28.7% | 18.0% |
| James Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 26.5% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.