Race 1A

bu-invite-oct

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Oliver Stokke 25.5% 21.5% 20.4% 10.7% 10.0% 5.5% 2.8% 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Clark Morris 16.7% 17.4% 14.0% 14.1% 11.1% 9.7% 8.1% 5.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Julius Heitkoetter 15.0% 13.2% 14.4% 12.7% 11.5% 11.9% 8.1% 7.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.9% 10.0% 9.3% 12.8% 12.3% 10.0% 11.1% 9.7% 8.1% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2%
Nathan Selian 9.8% 10.1% 10.8% 11.5% 12.5% 10.8% 10.2% 8.1% 7.6% 4.3% 3.8% 0.5%
Oliver Dietter 5.0% 6.7% 5.5% 7.3% 7.7% 10.0% 10.1% 13.0% 11.8% 10.4% 8.0% 4.5%
Willem Weinberg 5.1% 5.0% 4.9% 7.9% 8.4% 8.3% 8.8% 12.1% 12.2% 10.8% 11.7% 4.8%
Keller Morrison 5.8% 4.5% 5.8% 7.3% 7.9% 8.5% 10.5% 11.5% 12.2% 12.2% 8.0% 5.8%
Sylvia Burns 2.4% 2.4% 3.4% 3.5% 5.9% 7.1% 8.8% 8.9% 12.2% 16.6% 17.8% 11.0%
Nathan Hyde 2.8% 3.4% 3.9% 3.2% 4.2% 6.4% 8.0% 8.0% 11.7% 14.5% 20.3% 13.6%
Liam Gronda 4.4% 4.2% 6.5% 6.6% 6.9% 9.6% 10.3% 11.6% 12.3% 13.5% 9.1% 5.0%
James Bergstrom 0.6% 1.6% 1.1% 2.4% 1.6% 2.2% 3.2% 2.7% 4.7% 8.9% 17.5% 53.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.