Race 3A

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Oliver Stokke 25.2% 21.6% 20.1% 11.4% 9.8% 5.1% 3.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Julius Heitkoetter 13.5% 14.4% 13.9% 14.0% 10.6% 11.4% 9.1% 5.7% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Clark Morris 18.5% 16.0% 14.8% 12.2% 12.8% 10.2% 7.0% 4.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 7.5% 12.0% 9.2% 13.7% 12.3% 11.4% 10.3% 8.3% 7.2% 4.8% 2.2% 1.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 9.0% 8.4% 9.7% 12.7% 11.1% 10.7% 10.2% 9.7% 8.2% 4.9% 4.5% 0.9%
Oliver Dietter 5.1% 6.3% 5.7% 7.1% 8.3% 9.3% 10.0% 13.9% 11.7% 10.2% 8.1% 4.3%
Willem Weinberg 5.2% 4.9% 5.9% 6.8% 7.8% 8.4% 9.7% 11.6% 12.0% 11.2% 11.8% 4.7%
Liam Gronda 6.1% 4.7% 6.3% 6.2% 8.9% 8.0% 10.3% 12.5% 11.8% 12.1% 7.7% 5.4%
Sylvia Burns 2.3% 2.5% 3.4% 3.5% 5.8% 7.1% 9.3% 9.0% 12.2% 16.2% 17.6% 11.1%
Nathan Hyde 2.7% 3.8% 3.6% 3.4% 3.8% 7.0% 7.6% 8.4% 11.3% 14.6% 20.2% 13.6%
Keller Morrison 4.2% 4.1% 6.0% 7.0% 7.1% 8.9% 10.3% 11.8% 12.1% 14.0% 9.3% 5.2%
James Bergstrom 0.7% 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 1.7% 2.5% 3.1% 2.7% 4.9% 8.5% 17.7% 53.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.