Race 4A

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Julius Heitkoetter 13.4% 13.6% 14.6% 13.4% 11.1% 10.1% 9.7% 6.9% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Oliver Stokke 26.7% 23.4% 15.4% 11.9% 8.7% 6.6% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 9.2% 8.2% 9.1% 10.6% 11.6% 12.2% 10.1% 11.9% 8.1% 6.0% 2.2% 0.8%
Keller Morrison 3.9% 4.4% 6.0% 6.5% 8.3% 10.9% 9.3% 10.7% 12.8% 13.0% 10.5% 3.7%
Sylvia Burns 2.0% 3.6% 4.4% 3.4% 5.1% 6.6% 7.6% 10.0% 11.4% 12.9% 18.8% 14.2%
Clark Morris 16.9% 16.1% 16.4% 13.5% 11.6% 10.3% 6.6% 4.0% 2.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Oliver Dietter 6.0% 5.6% 7.6% 6.9% 10.3% 7.7% 9.8% 12.0% 11.9% 10.1% 8.6% 3.5%
Willem Weinberg 4.6% 6.1% 5.2% 7.5% 7.9% 7.3% 9.1% 12.0% 12.2% 13.0% 9.1% 6.0%
Liam Gronda 4.1% 5.0% 6.1% 8.3% 8.1% 10.6% 10.3% 11.5% 11.7% 12.2% 9.5% 2.6%
Nathan Hyde 3.1% 3.3% 3.0% 5.2% 4.3% 4.1% 8.9% 8.1% 10.3% 16.2% 19.5% 14.0%
Nathan Selian 9.2% 9.1% 11.2% 11.1% 10.7% 11.5% 11.4% 8.3% 8.7% 4.8% 3.0% 1.0%
James Bergstrom 0.9% 1.6% 1.0% 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 2.7% 2.6% 5.8% 7.9% 17.2% 54.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.