Race 5A

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Julius Heitkoetter 13.1% 14.5% 13.9% 12.7% 11.6% 10.9% 9.5% 6.7% 3.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Sylvia Burns 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.2% 5.8% 6.2% 8.0% 9.0% 12.1% 13.8% 21.2% 10.7%
Clark Morris 17.9% 14.3% 15.4% 14.6% 11.4% 10.3% 7.5% 4.4% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Oliver Stokke 26.4% 23.6% 16.6% 12.2% 9.1% 5.3% 3.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Oliver Dietter 4.0% 6.0% 6.8% 8.4% 7.5% 10.5% 10.2% 9.9% 12.6% 10.9% 9.3% 3.9%
Nathan Selian 9.5% 10.0% 10.4% 10.9% 12.3% 11.6% 10.9% 9.9% 7.0% 4.3% 3.0% 0.2%
Elliott Mendenhall 8.9% 9.9% 10.3% 10.9% 10.5% 10.6% 11.7% 9.2% 7.8% 5.9% 3.3% 1.0%
Keller Morrison 5.5% 4.5% 7.2% 7.6% 7.1% 8.6% 9.2% 10.9% 12.6% 12.5% 8.6% 5.7%
Willem Weinberg 3.3% 4.5% 5.7% 7.3% 10.1% 8.8% 9.8% 11.7% 12.6% 12.5% 9.6% 4.1%
Nathan Hyde 2.8% 4.4% 2.8% 3.3% 4.8% 6.0% 6.4% 10.9% 9.7% 15.8% 19.4% 13.7%
James Bergstrom 1.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 3.2% 3.9% 5.4% 7.8% 14.6% 56.4%
Liam Gronda 4.7% 4.5% 6.2% 6.5% 8.0% 9.1% 9.7% 11.4% 13.9% 12.8% 9.1% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.