Race 6A

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Elliott Mendenhall 8.1% 8.7% 9.3% 10.5% 10.9% 12.7% 11.8% 11.0% 7.0% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9%
Nathan Selian 9.0% 10.2% 11.1% 11.5% 12.2% 10.8% 11.0% 10.8% 6.8% 4.4% 2.0% 0.2%
Nathan Hyde 3.1% 3.3% 3.0% 3.6% 5.2% 6.6% 5.2% 9.8% 10.6% 14.4% 21.9% 13.3%
Julius Heitkoetter 12.7% 14.9% 15.3% 13.1% 11.9% 9.9% 8.4% 6.0% 4.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Oliver Stokke 26.5% 21.6% 17.1% 12.1% 9.6% 5.3% 3.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Liam Gronda 4.1% 5.4% 6.8% 6.3% 7.3% 8.6% 11.7% 11.3% 12.2% 13.7% 9.2% 3.4%
Oliver Dietter 5.9% 5.7% 6.8% 8.4% 8.2% 9.8% 10.4% 9.4% 12.7% 10.1% 8.3% 4.3%
Clark Morris 18.9% 15.9% 14.3% 14.1% 11.3% 8.9% 7.8% 4.9% 1.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2%
Willem Weinberg 3.5% 4.9% 5.7% 7.3% 8.5% 10.3% 10.1% 10.7% 13.1% 11.8% 10.1% 4.0%
Keller Morrison 4.6% 5.7% 6.3% 6.9% 8.1% 8.8% 9.5% 11.8% 12.2% 11.2% 10.1% 4.8%
Sylvia Burns 2.9% 2.3% 3.1% 4.2% 5.0% 5.4% 8.1% 9.1% 12.1% 15.4% 17.6% 14.8%
James Bergstrom 0.7% 1.4% 1.2% 2.0% 1.8% 2.9% 2.2% 3.1% 5.9% 8.5% 16.3% 54.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.