Race 7A

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nathan Selian 9.3% 9.3% 10.7% 10.8% 11.7% 12.2% 9.7% 10.1% 8.4% 4.7% 2.8% 0.3%
Oliver Stokke 24.8% 23.8% 17.2% 11.3% 9.1% 7.4% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Clark Morris 18.1% 16.2% 16.1% 11.1% 12.9% 9.3% 8.4% 4.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.5% 8.9% 10.5% 11.9% 10.8% 12.2% 9.8% 10.3% 8.3% 5.2% 3.4% 1.2%
Oliver Dietter 4.9% 5.4% 6.6% 8.1% 8.1% 10.1% 11.7% 9.9% 11.0% 10.9% 9.6% 3.7%
Nathan Hyde 2.6% 3.1% 3.0% 4.3% 4.8% 5.2% 6.7% 8.8% 12.5% 15.3% 19.4% 14.3%
Keller Morrison 5.4% 4.6% 7.3% 8.2% 7.4% 7.9% 9.8% 12.2% 12.4% 11.2% 9.6% 4.0%
Liam Gronda 6.0% 5.8% 6.0% 7.3% 8.1% 8.0% 9.1% 12.9% 11.5% 11.1% 8.8% 5.4%
Sylvia Burns 2.4% 2.6% 2.6% 4.5% 6.7% 6.6% 8.4% 9.5% 13.0% 15.0% 18.5% 10.2%
Julius Heitkoetter 13.8% 15.7% 13.7% 13.0% 11.5% 10.4% 8.7% 6.5% 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Willem Weinberg 4.3% 3.4% 5.2% 7.2% 7.2% 8.0% 11.8% 10.0% 11.7% 14.1% 11.1% 6.0%
James Bergstrom 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 2.3% 1.7% 2.7% 2.7% 3.7% 4.3% 9.1% 15.5% 54.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.