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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.45vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.25+3.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+0.04vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.74+2.93vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.06+3.55vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.93-2.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.64+0.02vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.36-2.76vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.66-2.01vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.90+0.37vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.12-2.42vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.59-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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5.58Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.04Roger Williams University2.380.3%1st Place
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6.93Northeastern University0.740.0%1st Place
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8.55Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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3.93Tufts University1.930.2%1st Place
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7.02Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.24Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.99Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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10.37Harvard University-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.58Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Rhode Island0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 13.1% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 7.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 27.6% | 19.9% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Dietter | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Nathan Hyde | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 20.4% | 14.4% |
| Clark Morris | 17.4% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Liam Gronda | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| James Bergstrom | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 52.3% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 14.7% |
| Willem Weinberg | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.