Race 9A

bu-invite-oct

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Oliver Stokke 22.9% 21.1% 17.3% 14.5% 9.0% 6.2% 4.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Grant Adam 9.8% 14.3% 10.7% 12.2% 13.4% 8.5% 10.0% 7.9% 6.3% 4.1% 2.4% 0.4%
Julius Heitkoetter 13.8% 10.7% 14.9% 10.4% 12.3% 10.9% 9.4% 8.7% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.8% 9.6% 9.3% 10.4% 10.3% 11.2% 9.6% 9.8% 8.8% 9.0% 4.7% 1.5%
Liam Gronda 3.9% 4.6% 6.0% 6.3% 6.5% 8.7% 9.2% 9.7% 11.8% 11.3% 13.4% 8.6%
Nathan Selian 9.7% 8.7% 8.6% 10.0% 9.7% 12.0% 11.6% 9.7% 7.4% 7.3% 4.1% 1.2%
Nathan Hyde 2.8% 3.1% 2.7% 2.9% 5.3% 5.9% 5.5% 8.5% 9.3% 13.2% 16.0% 24.8%
Oliver Dietter 5.7% 5.6% 6.2% 5.5% 7.8% 8.2% 9.7% 11.0% 11.7% 11.0% 10.3% 7.3%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 2.9% 5.0% 6.0% 7.9% 8.6% 10.1% 14.1% 17.2% 20.9%
Willem Weinberg 4.9% 4.2% 5.3% 6.0% 5.6% 8.1% 7.9% 9.7% 13.1% 12.5% 12.9% 9.8%
Sylvia Burns 2.6% 2.3% 1.8% 3.6% 4.8% 5.2% 5.7% 7.4% 12.1% 12.5% 17.0% 25.0%
Clark Morris 15.8% 13.5% 14.5% 15.3% 10.3% 9.1% 9.5% 6.0% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.