Race 10A

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Oliver Stokke 22.6% 19.9% 18.7% 13.6% 9.2% 6.9% 4.0% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Julius Heitkoetter 11.5% 14.2% 11.3% 13.2% 12.4% 10.5% 8.8% 7.6% 5.9% 2.4% 1.8% 0.4%
Clark Morris 16.4% 13.8% 15.6% 11.7% 11.5% 12.0% 8.0% 5.6% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.5% 8.8% 8.2% 11.2% 10.3% 10.5% 12.4% 9.9% 8.1% 7.0% 5.6% 1.5%
Grant Adam 11.9% 11.5% 13.3% 9.7% 12.2% 12.2% 8.6% 7.1% 5.7% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5%
Liam Gronda 4.2% 4.9% 5.4% 6.5% 6.7% 6.2% 10.0% 10.9% 11.7% 14.4% 11.7% 7.4%
Nathan Selian 9.7% 9.9% 8.7% 11.6% 10.7% 10.4% 10.4% 9.3% 8.3% 5.6% 3.5% 1.9%
Oliver Dietter 6.1% 4.5% 5.7% 7.3% 7.3% 8.1% 10.1% 9.9% 11.0% 12.7% 10.0% 7.3%
Sylvia Burns 2.0% 2.1% 3.3% 2.8% 4.7% 6.6% 6.6% 9.9% 10.3% 13.8% 17.2% 20.7%
Willem Weinberg 4.8% 4.3% 4.8% 6.2% 6.3% 6.9% 9.3% 10.2% 13.5% 12.3% 11.9% 9.5%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 2.3% 2.1% 2.6% 3.9% 4.9% 4.9% 4.9% 9.3% 9.8% 12.7% 19.3% 23.3%
Nathan Hyde 2.0% 4.0% 2.4% 2.3% 3.8% 4.8% 6.9% 7.5% 11.0% 11.9% 16.3% 27.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.