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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+1.78vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+1.33vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.93+2.89vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.23+4.81vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.38-0.22vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.53+3.48vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.96-1.31vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.77-1.79vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.41+0.09vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.58-3.35vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.16-3.06vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.39-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Roger Williams University2.400.3%1st Place
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3.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.2%1st Place
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5.89Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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8.81Northeastern University-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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9.48Harvard University-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.69Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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6.21Boston University0.770.1%1st Place
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9.09Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.65Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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7.36Northeastern University0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 28.1% | 25.2% | 18.8% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 21.1% | 20.6% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Meadows | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 19.7% |
| Sam Ingalls | 11.4% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Christina Chen | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 32.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Griffin Stolp | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 22.4% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 9.6% |
| Samuel Rooks | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.