Race 2B

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Drew Mastovsky 29.1% 23.5% 18.8% 13.7% 6.6% 4.0% 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Blake Vogel 6.1% 8.7% 9.0% 9.3% 12.2% 11.6% 11.2% 10.2% 10.7% 6.0% 3.8% 1.2%
Gavin Monaghan 7.0% 5.4% 8.5% 10.7% 8.5% 10.0% 13.4% 9.3% 12.7% 7.0% 5.6% 1.9%
Matthew Elliott 20.8% 22.8% 17.2% 13.3% 11.0% 7.0% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Ingalls 11.5% 10.8% 13.6% 12.4% 14.0% 12.7% 7.7% 6.9% 5.8% 2.8% 1.6% 0.2%
Griffin Stolp 1.7% 1.6% 2.5% 4.1% 5.0% 3.8% 5.3% 8.6% 7.7% 13.5% 19.6% 26.6%
Fritz Baldauf 7.6% 8.7% 9.1% 10.8% 12.3% 10.8% 12.1% 10.4% 6.9% 6.9% 2.8% 1.6%
Samuel Rooks 4.2% 5.4% 5.6% 7.1% 6.3% 9.7% 10.6% 10.8% 10.4% 14.0% 9.8% 6.1%
Richard Kalich 2.4% 3.1% 4.7% 5.3% 7.7% 9.8% 8.4% 12.3% 13.3% 13.5% 10.8% 8.7%
Daniel van Heeckeren 5.4% 6.2% 5.6% 8.7% 8.7% 10.9% 12.0% 11.0% 11.4% 9.1% 7.9% 3.1%
Christina Chen 2.2% 1.2% 1.6% 2.2% 4.0% 4.3% 4.2% 7.9% 8.6% 13.5% 19.6% 30.7%
Tyler Meadows 2.0% 2.6% 3.8% 2.4% 3.7% 5.4% 8.8% 8.9% 11.1% 13.0% 18.4% 19.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.