Race 3B

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Drew Mastovsky 28.0% 25.8% 19.4% 10.3% 8.0% 4.4% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Elliott 21.6% 20.7% 17.2% 14.8% 9.8% 7.6% 4.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Ingalls 11.8% 11.1% 13.1% 11.9% 14.3% 11.7% 10.3% 7.0% 5.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Gavin Monaghan 4.6% 6.7% 7.8% 10.6% 11.1% 10.8% 10.4% 12.5% 9.0% 8.9% 5.1% 2.5%
Fritz Baldauf 7.1% 7.9% 8.9% 11.9% 10.5% 10.8% 12.7% 9.5% 8.2% 6.6% 4.3% 1.6%
Samuel Rooks 3.9% 4.1% 6.0% 7.7% 7.5% 9.1% 9.1% 12.0% 12.6% 12.4% 10.3% 5.3%
Tyler Meadows 2.7% 3.1% 2.7% 4.0% 5.4% 6.3% 6.8% 7.9% 11.7% 12.4% 18.2% 18.8%
Daniel van Heeckeren 6.2% 5.7% 6.9% 8.0% 8.5% 10.6% 10.5% 9.7% 13.7% 10.3% 5.7% 4.2%
Griffin Stolp 2.1% 1.0% 2.8% 2.4% 5.1% 4.6% 7.6% 7.8% 9.5% 14.1% 19.0% 24.0%
Blake Vogel 7.1% 8.8% 8.8% 10.6% 10.3% 12.8% 10.8% 12.0% 7.5% 5.4% 4.4% 1.5%
Richard Kalich 3.2% 2.8% 3.9% 5.1% 7.1% 8.0% 9.7% 10.2% 12.0% 13.5% 13.6% 10.9%
Christina Chen 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 2.7% 2.4% 3.3% 5.2% 8.1% 9.1% 13.1% 18.6% 31.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.