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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.93+4.99vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.16+5.87vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University-0.23+5.77vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-0.72vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.40-2.21vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.38-1.20vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.39+0.14vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.41+1.03vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.77-2.85vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.58-3.23vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.96-5.05vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.53-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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8.77Northeastern University-0.230.0%1st Place
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3.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.2%1st Place
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2.79Roger Williams University2.400.3%1st Place
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4.8University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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7.14Northeastern University0.390.0%1st Place
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9.03Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.15Boston University0.770.1%1st Place
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6.77Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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5.95Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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9.47Harvard University-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Vogel | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% |
| Tyler Meadows | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 19.5% |
| Matthew Elliott | 22.0% | 20.5% | 20.0% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 31.6% | 23.5% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Ingalls | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Rooks | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
| Griffin Stolp | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 26.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Christina Chen | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.