Race 7B

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gavin Monaghan 5.7% 6.0% 7.7% 10.5% 7.9% 11.4% 12.4% 10.9% 10.5% 8.9% 5.2% 2.9%
Sam Ingalls 9.6% 12.9% 12.8% 13.8% 13.0% 11.6% 10.4% 6.6% 4.5% 2.8% 1.8% 0.2%
Drew Mastovsky 31.8% 21.3% 16.6% 13.7% 8.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Elliott 22.0% 21.0% 19.8% 13.0% 9.8% 6.3% 4.1% 2.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Blake Vogel 6.1% 7.9% 9.9% 10.9% 11.8% 11.1% 9.2% 11.8% 7.5% 7.5% 4.3% 2.0%
Fritz Baldauf 6.9% 8.5% 9.7% 9.3% 11.7% 12.1% 11.7% 10.0% 8.7% 6.6% 3.4% 1.4%
Christina Chen 1.8% 2.6% 1.8% 3.7% 3.2% 6.1% 4.8% 7.3% 9.0% 11.4% 19.1% 29.2%
Samuel Rooks 5.0% 5.2% 5.7% 6.2% 8.1% 8.5% 11.0% 10.9% 11.7% 12.5% 9.4% 5.8%
Tyler Meadows 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 3.9% 5.1% 5.8% 8.2% 9.7% 11.0% 14.5% 16.9% 18.0%
Richard Kalich 3.9% 4.4% 4.2% 4.4% 7.9% 7.5% 9.2% 10.2% 13.1% 12.1% 13.7% 9.4%
Daniel van Heeckeren 4.2% 4.8% 6.1% 8.4% 9.2% 11.1% 9.3% 12.2% 11.9% 11.3% 6.9% 4.6%
Griffin Stolp 1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 2.2% 3.4% 4.2% 7.7% 7.3% 10.2% 12.2% 19.1% 26.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.