Race 8B

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Drew Mastovsky 28.8% 24.2% 18.0% 13.2% 6.7% 5.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Gavin Monaghan 5.7% 6.7% 7.3% 9.5% 11.0% 11.5% 12.3% 9.2% 12.4% 7.1% 5.0% 2.3%
Blake Vogel 8.0% 5.5% 10.3% 10.3% 11.1% 12.2% 11.0% 10.6% 9.5% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3%
Matthew Elliott 20.3% 21.7% 18.7% 14.0% 10.5% 6.1% 5.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Ingalls 11.1% 10.6% 13.9% 13.9% 13.4% 11.4% 9.3% 6.6% 4.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.7%
Richard Kalich 3.1% 3.8% 4.5% 6.6% 5.9% 6.6% 8.6% 11.1% 11.3% 16.8% 12.8% 8.9%
Samuel Rooks 4.3% 5.5% 5.4% 5.9% 9.0% 10.5% 10.1% 10.8% 11.3% 9.9% 11.0% 6.3%
Fritz Baldauf 8.3% 9.0% 9.2% 9.3% 11.0% 12.4% 9.7% 12.6% 7.7% 5.8% 3.3% 1.7%
Christina Chen 1.6% 1.5% 1.7% 3.1% 3.4% 4.4% 6.8% 7.1% 8.5% 15.6% 18.2% 28.1%
Tyler Meadows 1.7% 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 5.5% 6.7% 7.9% 12.4% 14.0% 16.6% 19.5%
Griffin Stolp 2.3% 1.8% 1.5% 2.8% 4.3% 4.0% 6.2% 8.2% 10.6% 10.1% 19.7% 28.5%
Daniel van Heeckeren 4.8% 6.1% 6.1% 7.2% 9.2% 10.2% 12.0% 12.5% 10.1% 10.3% 8.8% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.