Race 9B

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Drew Mastovsky 29.5% 22.5% 20.7% 11.1% 8.0% 4.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Elliott 21.0% 22.6% 17.3% 13.6% 9.6% 7.8% 4.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Harry Kaya Prager 6.1% 5.3% 7.4% 8.0% 8.5% 10.4% 11.2% 12.5% 11.2% 10.8% 5.7% 2.9%
Gavin Monaghan 4.5% 6.9% 8.1% 10.4% 11.6% 10.8% 11.8% 10.0% 10.2% 7.5% 5.9% 2.3%
Richard Kalich 2.9% 4.2% 4.7% 5.9% 7.4% 8.2% 8.1% 10.2% 12.6% 12.3% 12.8% 10.7%
Christina Chen 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 3.0% 4.1% 5.6% 4.0% 7.9% 8.7% 11.5% 19.6% 30.8%
Fritz Baldauf 8.3% 8.6% 10.0% 9.7% 12.6% 10.0% 12.3% 9.4% 8.3% 5.8% 3.7% 1.3%
Sam Ingalls 12.6% 13.1% 11.2% 12.4% 12.9% 11.9% 10.0% 6.9% 4.2% 2.4% 2.0% 0.4%
Samuel Rooks 3.2% 4.2% 5.1% 8.8% 8.1% 10.6% 11.1% 11.8% 12.3% 12.0% 7.9% 4.9%
Charles Case 6.6% 6.3% 8.4% 10.4% 10.5% 11.0% 10.7% 11.4% 9.2% 8.3% 5.2% 2.0%
Tyler Meadows 2.3% 1.9% 2.9% 3.9% 3.6% 5.8% 7.0% 8.2% 11.3% 15.4% 19.2% 18.5%
Griffin Stolp 1.4% 3.0% 2.4% 2.8% 3.1% 3.6% 7.7% 7.8% 10.5% 13.5% 18.0% 26.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.