Race 10B

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Elliott 21.6% 18.7% 20.1% 13.8% 10.4% 7.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Drew Mastovsky 30.8% 23.6% 17.9% 11.1% 8.7% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Monaghan 6.7% 5.9% 7.4% 9.9% 9.5% 10.7% 11.6% 12.5% 11.3% 8.2% 4.3% 2.0%
Sam Ingalls 9.3% 13.6% 12.3% 14.2% 13.3% 11.9% 8.4% 7.5% 4.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.4%
Richard Kalich 2.4% 4.6% 4.7% 6.3% 6.1% 8.7% 9.0% 9.8% 9.8% 14.2% 12.9% 11.5%
Fritz Baldauf 6.9% 9.3% 7.6% 11.0% 12.1% 11.5% 11.6% 9.3% 10.2% 5.6% 3.5% 1.4%
Harry Kaya Prager 5.7% 6.6% 7.6% 9.5% 8.7% 10.5% 12.4% 10.5% 10.5% 8.4% 6.6% 3.0%
Charles Case 7.3% 6.3% 10.0% 8.3% 10.2% 10.8% 11.4% 10.0% 11.1% 7.3% 4.7% 2.6%
Christina Chen 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% 3.0% 3.6% 4.6% 6.0% 9.0% 9.5% 12.5% 18.8% 28.1%
Griffin Stolp 1.9% 2.0% 3.2% 3.0% 4.2% 5.3% 5.8% 8.5% 9.2% 12.6% 20.8% 23.5%
Samuel Rooks 4.2% 3.9% 5.1% 6.7% 8.9% 8.7% 9.9% 11.3% 11.6% 12.9% 9.9% 6.9%
Tyler Meadows 1.9% 3.6% 2.4% 3.2% 4.3% 5.8% 6.5% 8.6% 11.2% 14.6% 17.3% 20.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.