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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.23+0.74vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.69+0.72vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.39+0.70vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.75+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-2.31+0.14vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.75-0.21vs Predicted
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7Miami University-3.15-0.60vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Michigan State University0.230.5%1st Place
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2.72Purdue University-0.690.2%1st Place
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3.7University of Michigan-1.390.1%1st Place
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4.27Grand Valley State University-1.750.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Toledo-2.310.0%1st Place
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5.79Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
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6.4Miami University-3.150.0%1st Place
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6.24Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 53.8% | 27.3% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bernhardt | 19.7% | 30.5% | 23.6% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Glen Warren | 9.9% | 15.1% | 23.3% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Carly Irwin | 6.5% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 21.7% | 19.2% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 4.2% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 8.6% |
| William O'Haver | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 20.8% |
| Elizabeth Bittner | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 22.9% | 36.9% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 19.9% | 24.5% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.