← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Michigan University-1.84+1.61vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University-0.42-0.51vs Predicted
-
3University of Puget Sound-3.21+1.17vs Predicted
-
4Miami University-3.99+1.09vs Predicted
-
5Grand Valley State University-2.03-2.09vs Predicted
-
7Purdue University-4.40-1.48vs Predicted
-
8Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.61Western Michigan University-1.840.2%1st Place
-
1.49Michigan State University-0.420.7%1st Place
-
4.17University of Puget Sound-3.210.0%1st Place
-
5.09Miami University-3.990.0%1st Place
-
2.91Grand Valley State University-2.030.1%1st Place
-
5.52Purdue University-4.400.0%1st Place
-
6.21Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Harkins | 16.9% | 33.1% | 29.4% | 14.3% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Monika Torkos | 65.1% | 23.8% | 8.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max McCumber | 4.5% | 6.8% | 15.7% | 32.8% | 24.3% | 12.1% | 3.8% |
| Graham Parsons | 1.3% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 15.3% | 29.2% | 30.2% | 12.8% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 10.8% | 27.6% | 32.9% | 19.4% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 0.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 11.7% | 21.1% | 35.0% | 24.6% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 12.2% | 20.5% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.