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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-2.03+1.73vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.84-0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.57-1.80vs Predicted
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5Miami University-3.99+0.17vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-4.40-0.41vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-2.70-3.42vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Grand Valley State University-2.030.2%1st Place
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2.51Western Michigan University-1.840.3%1st Place
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2.2University of Michigan-1.570.3%1st Place
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5.17Miami University-3.990.0%1st Place
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5.59Purdue University-4.400.0%1st Place
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3.58Michigan State University-2.700.1%1st Place
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6.23Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Szlachta | 23.3% | 23.5% | 24.1% | 18.4% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Tony Harkins | 26.8% | 25.8% | 25.3% | 15.1% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Colby Peplinski | 34.1% | 30.1% | 21.2% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Graham Parsons | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 12.7% | 32.2% | 30.5% | 14.0% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 22.4% | 36.2% | 25.8% |
| Cameron Dick | 11.3% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 30.8% | 17.9% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
| Adam Bryan | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 10.6% | 22.2% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.