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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University-1.84+1.19vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-2.03+0.31vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-2.70+0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound-3.21-0.13vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-4.40+0.43vs Predicted
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6Miami University-3.99-1.10vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Western Michigan University-1.840.4%1st Place
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2.31Grand Valley State University-2.030.3%1st Place
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3.2Michigan State University-2.700.1%1st Place
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3.87University of Puget Sound-3.210.1%1st Place
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5.43Purdue University-4.400.0%1st Place
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4.9Miami University-3.990.0%1st Place
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6.1Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Harkins | 38.4% | 27.4% | 17.9% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 30.7% | 31.1% | 21.6% | 11.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Dick | 13.8% | 18.9% | 27.2% | 21.7% | 12.1% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Max McCumber | 9.4% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 24.3% | 23.6% | 12.4% | 2.5% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 20.6% | 32.1% | 26.0% |
| Graham Parsons | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 25.6% | 26.7% | 13.8% |
| Adam Bryan | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 21.4% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.