← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Purdue University-4.40+4.32vs Predicted
-
2Western Michigan University-1.84+0.12vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University-2.70+0.18vs Predicted
-
4Miami University-3.99+0.96vs Predicted
-
5Grand Valley State University-2.03-2.62vs Predicted
-
6Saginaw Valley State University-5.16+0.25vs Predicted
-
7University of Puget Sound-3.21-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.32Purdue University-4.400.0%1st Place
-
2.12Western Michigan University-1.840.4%1st Place
-
3.18Michigan State University-2.700.1%1st Place
-
4.96Miami University-3.990.0%1st Place
-
2.38Grand Valley State University-2.030.3%1st Place
-
6.25Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
-
3.8University of Puget Sound-3.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellyn Bucceri | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 20.9% | 32.7% | 22.9% |
| Tony Harkins | 38.1% | 28.5% | 20.7% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Dick | 14.5% | 19.4% | 24.0% | 23.2% | 14.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Graham Parsons | 3.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 24.0% | 31.8% | 12.2% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 30.6% | 27.5% | 23.2% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 61.7% |
| Max McCumber | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 26.5% | 21.6% | 11.5% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.