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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-0.42+0.45vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-1.84+0.64vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-4.40+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound-3.21+0.24vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-2.03-2.12vs Predicted
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6Miami University-3.99-0.91vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Michigan State University-0.420.7%1st Place
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2.64Western Michigan University-1.840.2%1st Place
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5.52Purdue University-4.400.0%1st Place
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4.24University of Puget Sound-3.210.0%1st Place
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2.88Grand Valley State University-2.030.1%1st Place
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5.09Miami University-3.990.0%1st Place
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6.18Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monika Torkos | 66.5% | 24.4% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Harkins | 16.1% | 31.8% | 31.1% | 15.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 22.0% | 33.6% | 26.1% |
| Max McCumber | 2.2% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 31.4% | 25.4% | 15.1% | 2.5% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 12.0% | 26.5% | 33.6% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Graham Parsons | 1.6% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 18.3% | 28.1% | 28.1% | 14.1% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 12.6% | 20.9% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.