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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-0.42+0.87vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.77+0.22vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.84+0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound-3.21+1.14vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-2.03-1.36vs Predicted
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6Miami University-3.99-0.01vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-4.40-0.48vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Michigan State University-0.420.5%1st Place
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2.22Hope College-0.770.3%1st Place
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3.42Western Michigan University-1.840.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Puget Sound-3.210.0%1st Place
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3.64Grand Valley State University-2.030.1%1st Place
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5.99Miami University-3.990.0%1st Place
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6.52Purdue University-4.400.0%1st Place
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7.2Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monika Torkos | 46.8% | 29.2% | 15.9% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 30.9% | 32.8% | 22.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Harkins | 10.6% | 14.7% | 24.8% | 28.5% | 15.2% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Max McCumber | 1.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 29.8% | 26.3% | 13.2% | 3.5% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 7.9% | 14.3% | 22.0% | 28.3% | 18.3% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Graham Parsons | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 17.9% | 29.0% | 26.5% | 13.6% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 10.0% | 22.6% | 31.0% | 27.8% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 26.7% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.