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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.34+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-0.96+1.11vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-1.18+0.44vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.83+0.38vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-1.13-1.60vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.01-1.40vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-4.78-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Northwestern University-0.340.4%1st Place
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3.11University of Illinois-0.960.2%1st Place
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3.44University of Chicago-1.180.1%1st Place
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4.38Western Michigan University-1.830.1%1st Place
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3.4Indiana University-1.130.1%1st Place
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4.6Western Michigan University-2.010.1%1st Place
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6.78Purdue University-4.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Abbott | 38.8% | 23.9% | 17.7% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 18.1% | 22.0% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 0.6% |
| Holden Higgins | 13.9% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 22.2% | 16.5% | 9.8% | 1.4% |
| Megan Rakoczy | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 24.8% | 27.8% | 3.5% |
| Juhi Desai | 14.4% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 1.2% |
| Jack Charlton | 7.4% | 6.1% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 20.2% | 37.6% | 3.8% |
| Connor Lawrence | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 89.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.