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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.34+1.27vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-1.13+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-0.96+0.14vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-2.01+0.64vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.83-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.18-2.55vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-4.78-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Northwestern University-0.340.4%1st Place
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3.35Indiana University-1.130.2%1st Place
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3.14University of Illinois-0.960.2%1st Place
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4.64Western Michigan University-2.010.1%1st Place
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4.38Western Michigan University-1.830.1%1st Place
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3.45University of Chicago-1.180.2%1st Place
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6.78Purdue University-4.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Abbott | 38.4% | 25.1% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Juhi Desai | 15.6% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 0.9% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 16.7% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Jack Charlton | 6.1% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 22.5% | 35.7% | 4.4% |
| Megan Rakoczy | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 23.0% | 28.4% | 3.7% |
| Holden Higgins | 15.2% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 0.8% |
| Connor Lawrence | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 5.8% | 89.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.