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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.34+1.27vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-1.13+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-0.96+0.12vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.83+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-1.18-1.51vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.01-1.40vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-4.78-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Northwestern University-0.340.4%1st Place
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3.35Indiana University-1.130.2%1st Place
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3.12University of Illinois-0.960.2%1st Place
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4.38Western Michigan University-1.830.1%1st Place
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3.49University of Chicago-1.180.1%1st Place
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4.6Western Michigan University-2.010.1%1st Place
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6.78Purdue University-4.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Abbott | 38.8% | 25.0% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Juhi Desai | 15.4% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 1.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 17.6% | 22.7% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Megan Rakoczy | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 24.7% | 27.9% | 3.4% |
| Holden Higgins | 13.2% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 1.2% |
| Jack Charlton | 7.5% | 5.3% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 20.7% | 37.2% | 3.9% |
| Connor Lawrence | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 89.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.