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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.23+0.34vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-0.67+0.84vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-2.12+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.76-1.01vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.13-0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-2.82-0.62vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-3.86-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.34Northwestern University1.230.7%1st Place
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2.84Indiana University-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.55Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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2.99University of Chicago-0.760.1%1st Place
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4.6Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Illinois-2.820.0%1st Place
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6.3Western Michigan University-3.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Weinstein | 72.5% | 22.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 11.0% | 31.9% | 30.4% | 17.7% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 3.3% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 22.6% | 27.9% | 19.9% | 7.6% |
| Carlos Sole | 9.5% | 28.1% | 30.9% | 19.4% | 9.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| William Moran | 2.3% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 22.2% | 26.3% | 21.1% | 8.2% |
| Georgios Akkogiounoglou | 1.1% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 18.8% | 37.2% | 20.3% |
| Caleb Prugh | 0.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 10.1% | 17.5% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.