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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.23+0.31vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.76+0.91vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-2.12+1.56vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-2.13+0.64vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-0.67-2.10vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-2.82-0.63vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-3.86-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.31Northwestern University1.230.8%1st Place
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2.91University of Chicago-0.760.1%1st Place
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4.56Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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4.64Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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2.9Indiana University-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Illinois-2.820.0%1st Place
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6.3Western Michigan University-3.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Weinstein | 75.0% | 19.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos Sole | 10.4% | 28.8% | 33.0% | 17.6% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 3.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 23.7% | 27.1% | 20.3% | 7.7% |
| William Moran | 1.0% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 22.9% | 26.4% | 22.6% | 7.4% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 9.5% | 32.0% | 30.7% | 17.5% | 8.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Georgios Akkogiounoglou | 1.0% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 13.4% | 20.7% | 35.6% | 20.2% |
| Caleb Prugh | 0.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 9.5% | 18.0% | 63.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.