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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.12+0.96vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-0.67+0.87vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-2.13+1.83vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.76-0.97vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-2.12-0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.50-2.01vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-3.86-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Northwestern University0.120.5%1st Place
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2.87Indiana University-0.670.2%1st Place
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4.83Western Michigan University-2.130.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Chicago-0.760.2%1st Place
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4.84Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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3.99University of Illinois-1.500.1%1st Place
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6.47Western Michigan University-3.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bray | 45.7% | 27.2% | 15.8% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 18.0% | 27.5% | 22.3% | 18.5% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| William Moran | 5.1% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 23.3% | 31.3% | 10.8% |
| Carlos Sole | 18.3% | 20.4% | 24.4% | 19.5% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 3.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 22.9% | 30.5% | 11.7% |
| Logan Hoang | 8.3% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 21.2% | 23.0% | 15.8% | 3.2% |
| Caleb Prugh | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 73.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.