← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University0.12+0.94vs Predicted
-
2Western Michigan University-2.13+2.82vs Predicted
-
3Indiana University-0.67-0.14vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois-1.50+0.05vs Predicted
-
5University of Chicago-0.76-1.95vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University-2.12-1.18vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-3.86-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.94Northwestern University0.120.5%1st Place
-
4.82Western Michigan University-2.130.1%1st Place
-
2.86Indiana University-0.670.2%1st Place
-
4.05University of Illinois-1.500.1%1st Place
-
3.05University of Chicago-0.760.2%1st Place
-
4.82Purdue University-2.120.1%1st Place
-
6.46Western Michigan University-3.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bray | 46.5% | 27.4% | 15.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Moran | 5.0% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 23.2% | 31.2% | 10.1% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 18.6% | 26.6% | 23.3% | 17.7% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Logan Hoang | 8.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 23.3% | 22.7% | 16.1% | 3.9% |
| Carlos Sole | 16.2% | 22.9% | 25.2% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 5.0% | 4.8% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 22.6% | 32.0% | 10.3% |
| Caleb Prugh | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 74.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.