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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.23+0.30vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-0.67+0.76vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.76-0.11vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-2.12+0.41vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.13-0.60vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-3.86+0.12vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-3.92-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.3Northwestern University1.230.8%1st Place
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2.76Indiana University-0.670.1%1st Place
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2.89University of Chicago-0.760.1%1st Place
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4.41Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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4.4Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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6.12Western Michigan University-3.860.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Illinois-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Weinstein | 76.0% | 19.0% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 10.9% | 31.9% | 34.7% | 15.7% | 6.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Carlos Sole | 8.9% | 31.4% | 31.8% | 19.1% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.1% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 26.8% | 33.8% | 14.7% | 2.9% |
| William Moran | 2.6% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 26.9% | 31.7% | 15.0% | 4.3% |
| Caleb Prugh | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 11.0% | 35.4% | 45.3% |
| Sebastien Welters | 0.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 32.5% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.