Race 4A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 21.8% 19.9% 15.3% 10.8% 10.4% 8.3% 6.1% 3.3% 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
J.J. Smith 12.2% 12.1% 12.5% 11.8% 10.8% 9.5% 10.5% 7.4% 6.3% 3.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.4% 8.2% 9.4% 8.9% 9.7% 10.4% 11.6% 9.7% 8.5% 7.4% 4.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Eva Blauvelt 17.5% 17.3% 14.2% 13.5% 11.8% 7.7% 7.2% 5.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 11.6% 13.4% 16.1% 12.9% 11.3% 10.0% 8.0% 7.2% 4.9% 2.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.8% 5.5% 5.6% 7.0% 9.5% 9.0% 11.4% 8.9% 9.8% 10.8% 8.3% 4.6% 3.4% 0.4%
Kennedy Jones 2.9% 3.5% 3.6% 4.9% 4.4% 6.6% 5.6% 7.7% 10.5% 10.6% 13.2% 13.9% 9.1% 3.5%
Annika VanderHorst 1.8% 3.1% 3.4% 3.2% 4.1% 4.4% 4.6% 6.4% 8.5% 11.0% 12.4% 15.4% 14.3% 7.4%
Cho-Cho Williams 3.7% 3.2% 3.8% 5.3% 5.4% 5.0% 6.5% 9.8% 11.8% 12.8% 12.8% 11.6% 5.6% 2.7%
Laura Smith 2.3% 2.4% 1.7% 2.7% 3.3% 6.0% 5.7% 6.9% 8.8% 10.8% 13.7% 16.8% 13.1% 5.8%
Heather Kerns 6.1% 4.5% 6.6% 8.5% 8.4% 9.7% 8.3% 12.1% 9.9% 9.7% 6.4% 6.2% 3.0% 0.6%
Avery Canavan 5.3% 5.4% 6.2% 7.9% 8.5% 10.1% 10.9% 10.3% 9.8% 9.8% 7.4% 4.9% 2.9% 0.6%
Rose von Eckartsberg 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.0% 2.4% 3.4% 5.4% 6.8% 13.1% 25.0% 34.5%
Evelyn Walsh 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 2.5% 3.1% 3.6% 8.4% 8.6% 22.3% 44.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.