Race 8A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 21.9% 19.6% 15.1% 12.2% 8.3% 9.4% 5.8% 4.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
J.J. Smith 12.1% 13.0% 11.6% 11.8% 11.3% 9.9% 10.1% 7.6% 5.8% 3.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.7% 6.2% 7.1% 8.5% 6.9% 8.2% 10.2% 10.8% 11.3% 9.3% 8.0% 4.5% 2.6% 0.7%
Eva Blauvelt 16.5% 18.1% 15.2% 12.2% 12.5% 8.3% 5.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 12.1% 13.0% 15.8% 13.6% 11.0% 10.7% 7.4% 6.9% 5.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.1% 6.9% 9.0% 9.8% 10.5% 10.3% 10.0% 9.8% 8.1% 8.2% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Annika VanderHorst 2.2% 2.5% 3.5% 2.8% 5.4% 4.8% 6.0% 5.7% 7.3% 11.2% 12.5% 16.2% 13.4% 6.5%
Heather Kerns 6.9% 6.0% 7.2% 6.7% 8.2% 9.2% 11.2% 9.6% 9.4% 9.0% 7.1% 6.2% 2.7% 0.6%
Cho-Cho Williams 3.5% 3.5% 2.9% 6.0% 5.6% 5.1% 6.6% 9.5% 11.8% 13.8% 11.8% 11.0% 6.1% 2.8%
Avery Canavan 5.4% 5.2% 6.3% 7.4% 8.9% 9.4% 9.4% 10.3% 10.3% 10.2% 8.7% 5.8% 1.9% 0.8%
Laura Smith 2.6% 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 4.8% 5.4% 7.0% 6.6% 9.3% 9.8% 13.5% 15.9% 13.6% 5.5%
Kennedy Jones 2.5% 2.1% 2.6% 4.6% 4.0% 6.1% 7.0% 8.1% 9.8% 11.8% 12.3% 13.5% 11.0% 4.6%
Evelyn Walsh 1.0% 1.0% 0.4% 1.5% 0.8% 1.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.9% 4.7% 7.0% 8.8% 21.7% 44.9%
Rose von Eckartsberg 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 1.5% 2.1% 2.9% 3.9% 4.8% 8.5% 12.1% 25.3% 33.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.