Race 10A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Cho-Cho Williams 3.4% 3.4% 4.7% 4.5% 5.7% 7.1% 8.0% 8.8% 10.5% 12.3% 11.2% 10.4% 6.5% 3.5%
Heather Kerns 5.1% 7.9% 7.6% 7.8% 8.3% 7.5% 10.3% 12.5% 10.8% 7.9% 6.3% 4.9% 2.7% 0.4%
Annika VanderHorst 2.6% 3.2% 2.5% 2.6% 5.0% 4.9% 5.3% 4.7% 7.1% 10.8% 12.4% 18.3% 14.6% 6.0%
Torrey Chisari 13.3% 14.1% 12.7% 14.3% 11.3% 11.6% 6.7% 6.0% 4.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 2.2% 2.1% 3.5% 3.4% 5.0% 5.3% 6.5% 8.3% 9.6% 10.0% 13.4% 14.3% 10.7% 5.7%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.6% 6.4% 8.6% 9.6% 10.7% 10.0% 11.5% 8.5% 8.0% 8.1% 5.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.2%
Eva Blauvelt 17.8% 20.1% 14.9% 11.9% 10.7% 9.0% 6.9% 4.1% 2.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 21.1% 19.4% 16.0% 10.8% 9.9% 9.1% 5.7% 4.3% 2.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Avery Canavan 6.8% 4.3% 6.3% 7.5% 7.9% 7.7% 10.8% 10.4% 11.1% 10.1% 9.0% 4.4% 3.0% 0.7%
J.J. Smith 9.3% 10.7% 12.4% 14.6% 10.1% 10.5% 8.6% 9.6% 6.2% 4.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 6.2% 4.7% 6.8% 7.8% 8.5% 9.8% 9.6% 10.5% 10.8% 7.9% 8.5% 5.4% 2.7% 0.8%
Laura Smith 2.4% 2.1% 2.9% 2.7% 4.1% 4.6% 6.2% 6.5% 9.2% 12.5% 14.4% 13.4% 12.2% 6.8%
Bracklinn Williams 1.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 2.6% 4.0% 4.5% 7.1% 11.7% 20.7% 41.1%
Rose von Eckartsberg 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 2.1% 3.2% 3.5% 6.1% 7.2% 12.0% 24.5% 34.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.