Race 14A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
J.J. Smith 11.7% 12.5% 10.7% 11.0% 11.8% 12.5% 10.4% 8.0% 5.3% 3.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Eva Blauvelt 18.1% 16.4% 15.2% 13.8% 12.5% 7.9% 7.8% 4.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 13.3% 14.3% 13.4% 13.4% 13.2% 10.5% 8.1% 6.6% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.3% 7.0% 7.2% 8.9% 7.8% 9.7% 11.3% 11.7% 10.5% 11.2% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8%
Laura Smith 2.3% 3.5% 2.3% 4.1% 3.6% 6.8% 5.9% 7.4% 10.2% 13.5% 19.2% 16.2% 5.0%
Piper Holthus 21.9% 19.0% 15.3% 14.1% 10.1% 7.4% 5.8% 3.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Avery Canavan 6.8% 5.8% 8.8% 8.0% 5.7% 8.7% 11.1% 12.8% 10.0% 11.8% 7.2% 2.7% 0.6%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.5% 7.9% 10.2% 9.3% 10.3% 11.4% 12.4% 9.6% 9.3% 6.5% 4.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Cho-Cho Williams 3.9% 3.7% 4.0% 4.5% 6.5% 6.4% 6.7% 9.9% 14.6% 12.9% 15.5% 8.6% 2.8%
Heather Kerns 6.3% 7.0% 6.6% 6.4% 10.2% 10.2% 9.4% 11.9% 11.2% 9.0% 7.4% 3.0% 1.4%
Kennedy Jones 2.6% 2.0% 4.4% 4.5% 6.1% 5.2% 7.7% 9.7% 12.1% 13.8% 15.3% 12.2% 4.4%
Evelyn Walsh 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 2.4% 4.1% 6.0% 9.0% 24.7% 46.8%
Rose von Eckartsberg 0.8% 0.4% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.5% 3.8% 7.7% 11.8% 28.2% 38.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.