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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.80+6.46vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.73+3.03vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+1.99vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester0.81+5.99vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.48+0.64vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85-1.32vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University1.40+0.46vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-5.95vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.55-4.49vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College1.73-3.34vs Predicted
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12Princeton University1.81-4.70vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.81-3.01vs Predicted
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14Penn State University0.21-2.78vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo0.87-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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5.03Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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4.99Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Rochester0.810.0%1st Place
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5.64Cornell University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.68Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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8.46Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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3.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.3%1st Place
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5.51Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.66Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.3Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Rochester0.810.0%1st Place
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11.22Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sayre | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Romanowsky | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.8% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Kana | 26.7% | 22.3% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Romanowsky | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 47.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.