Race 10B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Elizabeth Starck 8.6% 7.2% 10.0% 9.6% 10.4% 9.0% 11.3% 10.6% 9.5% 8.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2%
Lauren Ehnot 12.3% 14.8% 13.1% 12.2% 13.4% 9.4% 8.1% 8.3% 4.2% 2.7% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Kelly Bates 24.6% 19.8% 16.6% 11.9% 10.6% 7.1% 5.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeleine Rice 14.1% 14.8% 14.9% 13.7% 10.0% 11.1% 7.5% 5.6% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Grace Watlington 5.8% 5.4% 5.8% 7.1% 7.6% 9.4% 8.5% 10.2% 12.2% 13.7% 10.1% 3.8% 0.4%
Lily Flack 5.7% 5.4% 6.5% 9.7% 8.2% 8.6% 10.1% 11.3% 11.0% 11.6% 9.6% 2.1% 0.2%
Ava Farley 8.6% 7.9% 9.4% 9.5% 8.7% 9.4% 11.0% 9.1% 10.5% 9.3% 4.9% 1.6% 0.1%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 7.0% 9.2% 8.1% 8.9% 9.2% 12.0% 11.2% 10.3% 9.9% 9.9% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Lizzie Cochran 5.6% 6.6% 7.4% 6.6% 9.5% 9.3% 9.5% 12.7% 10.5% 10.3% 9.2% 2.6% 0.2%
Gianna Dewey 5.3% 6.2% 5.5% 7.4% 8.2% 8.7% 10.1% 10.1% 11.1% 10.9% 11.9% 3.9% 0.7%
Margaret Myers-Aldous 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 2.2% 2.0% 4.1% 9.0% 34.8% 44.7%
Laurel Krause 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 1.4% 0.9% 1.3% 2.5% 3.1% 8.6% 30.9% 49.1%
Carly Mraz 1.5% 2.0% 2.1% 2.8% 3.0% 4.0% 5.6% 6.2% 10.4% 13.2% 26.8% 18.1% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.