Race 13B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kelly Bates 23.4% 20.3% 17.2% 12.0% 10.3% 5.9% 5.8% 2.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Ehnot 14.1% 12.9% 13.7% 13.7% 10.8% 9.7% 9.1% 7.3% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 5.9% 9.1% 9.8% 8.6% 8.7% 10.7% 11.1% 11.9% 9.4% 8.6% 5.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Lizzie Cochran 5.8% 6.9% 5.6% 8.0% 9.5% 9.9% 9.8% 12.1% 10.5% 10.4% 9.5% 1.6% 0.4%
Lily Flack 6.7% 5.4% 6.3% 8.6% 8.6% 8.3% 9.2% 9.8% 12.5% 12.7% 9.2% 2.4% 0.3%
Grace Watlington 5.1% 5.2% 6.8% 7.2% 7.4% 8.2% 9.1% 10.4% 13.4% 12.5% 10.6% 3.8% 0.3%
Madeleine Rice 15.4% 14.4% 13.4% 14.0% 12.4% 8.5% 7.8% 6.8% 3.7% 2.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Ava Farley 7.3% 8.0% 9.2% 8.9% 9.0% 10.8% 11.1% 9.8% 10.5% 9.9% 4.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Gianna Dewey 4.9% 6.1% 6.0% 4.9% 7.7% 9.2% 9.4% 10.9% 11.9% 12.4% 12.5% 3.5% 0.6%
Elizabeth Starck 8.8% 8.9% 9.3% 9.6% 10.6% 10.4% 11.0% 8.3% 8.9% 8.4% 4.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Carly Mraz 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 3.8% 3.2% 6.4% 5.0% 7.2% 9.2% 13.7% 26.0% 15.2% 4.2%
Laurel Krause 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 1.7% 1.6% 3.7% 7.9% 35.0% 45.9%
Margaret Myers-Aldous 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 2.0% 2.7% 7.8% 34.6% 47.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.